Crimes and Criminals

Violent crimes have been at historic up nationwide; they are rising sharply in all cities. The rise seems to have been set off by something more bewildering.

Crime, as seen one among several forms of deviance, is a type of anomic behavior; some others characterize it as a more conscious response to social conditions, to stress, to the breakdown in law enforcement or social order, and to the labeling of certain behavior as deviant. Crime rates are driven by different factors in each society.

Imagine Lahore only ten years ago: It was a different city; socially cohesive, closely knit. Young children could go visiting neighbors or to nearby shopping centers to get groceries and other things but not now. People then knew each other personally and had strong social bounds; hence courtesies for each other.

Things started changing with an exponential increase in urbanization. Large number of outsiders started moving in Lahore to live and or work. Now even the immediate neighbors do not know each other and people act like total strangers. Garish housing societies have come up on all the open spaces inside the city and Lahore has expanded much beyond what used to be municipal boundaries. The crime rate has grown with mush faster speed than the city.

What are the apparent causes? Many experts say that crimes are a result of disintegrating familial and dwindling community values that are contributing in turning young people into violent criminals.

Due to the growing demand for educated workforce and skilled labor, an employment base that used to provide jobs for those without a school certificate has shrunk considerably. This situation has resulted in a general lack of hope. "If one does not have skills, training, and when socio economic situation looks desperate, does that young man really have hope? I think that ties into the anger," says a sociologist Dr. Muhammad Anwar, "This anger seem to be translating in to crimes, petty in the beginning that leads to more heinous ones at later stages." This is the reasons that the criminals mostly are in their mid teens to mid-20's.

One finds unskilled workers sitting in a linear fashion with their tools -- mountains of paint brushes, piles of colour scheme cards, number of empty paint cans, digging paraphernalia and or hammers of different kind (who said unskilled labour) -- along any city roads and squares waiting for a day's job. Thy all come from suburbs to earn their livings. What options do they have when they do not get the job for the day and they have to go back home to family that is to b fed, is the question. They not only lose hope but may get frustrated that may lead them to resort to unfair means, what ever is possible for them.

Similarly, the army of maids and home servants who come from nearby villages and towns when dazzled by urban glamour are incited to commit to petty crimes and thefts.

Not only unskilled and uneducated segment, even degree holders find it difficult to get their first job after graduation because traditionally the job market in slow economy of Pakistan has always been tight. Which is why one reads reports of crimes (from purse and mobile phone snatching to car lifting to burglaries and murders) being committed by people from effluent class and living in posh localities of Lahore? Though generally, the poorer neighborhoods are considered to be the hubs for frequent criminal happenings. Let me hasten to add, this does not imply that there are no crimes in posh localities like Defense Society, or Gulberg or the criminals living in these localities can not commit crime around Railway Station or Badami Bagh Bus Terminal or Lakshmi or Bhatti gate.

Besides hopelessness, crimes are attributed to greed, to an evil nature, to poor parenting, to television, to movies, to the Internet, to whatever seems to be popular and not in accord with our old societal value system. These and many other are the reasons that we find crime rate rising on an alarming rate.

Crime statistics, like any other officially reported data, cannot be considered reliable. In the past decade, Lahore has been awash with guns. Empirical evidences tell that Kalashnikov and other automatic weapons have become ubiquitous in Lahore, city called cultural capital of Pakistan. This fact makes the crime quick and fast, much faster than law enforcing agencies to track.

Criminality extends into all levels of society and it cannot be restricted to the largely undefined boundaries of Lahore. Given the fast and efficient communication means (roads network, mobile phones, more transport), it has been observed that criminals sometime come from suburbs, make their day and go back uncaught. Those who study crime debate say, "Criminals may be from anywhere but all crime is local, of course, and each city has its underlying causes."

Analyzing crime is an absorbing exercise. It throws up new facets of crime and new ideas on how to cope with them. The real tragedy, however, is that there is hardly a national debate on crime, like the one seen in the developed world; where the crime are more. "Unless crime hits hard personally, I am not concerned," is the worst attitude that is exhibited some time.

The only long term solution to put an end to crimes and make our society more civilized is to end hopelessness. How to create hope in the people and tolerance in our society are the real issues that need to be addressed. And this can happen when every one is conscious and does what ever is possible.

The solution is not with police or any other law enforcing agencies. "The problem is much deeper and the solution has to be long term. Combating crime firmly and honestly is one thing. Provision of education, heath and other social securities, fair play in practices and procedure are some other starting points. Collectively, we should act responsibly and are some factors to start if we have to combat crime," Dr. Pirzada Inam Karim.

Tags: , ,

Helen of Troy, Cleopatra, Qura tul Ain Tahira, Noor Jehan and Umrao Jan Ada

Societies pride in different strengths: Some give importance to bravery, some to democracy, and some nations think that freedom of expressions, development and or education are the hallmarks for their long-term sustenance. “The nations should be judged on how they look at their women,” writes Abbas Khan, the author of Urdu novel Mein Aur Umrao Jan Ada, his eleventh.

There is a famous saying that every thing in fiction is true except dates. But in the novel written by Abbas Khan even dates are true because he has based his novel in the back ground of five very famous women in the history: Helen of Troy, Cleopatra, Qura tul Ain Tahira (Iran), Mughal Princess Noor Jehan and Umrao Jan Ada.

Helen of Troy was the daughter of Zeus and Leda and wife of Menelaus, considered to be the most beautiful woman in the world. Her abduction by Paris caused the Trojan War and made thousand ships drown.

Cleopatra (actually Cleopatra VII) was the last of the Ptolemies, the Macedonian-descended pharaohs who ruled Egypt beginning in 304 B.C. Cleopatra has come down through history less for her administrative skills than for her beguiling ways, which she used in an attempt to keep Egypt free from Roman domination. Among those whom she charmed was Julius Caesar, with whom she had a son, Caesarion. After Caesar's death, Cleopatra joined forces with Caesar's colleague Marc Antony; they became lovers and political allies against Antony's rival Octavian. Octavian's forces finally defeated those of Antony and Cleopatra in the naval battle of Actium in 31 B.C. The two lovers fled to Alexandria and, faced with defeat by Octavian, committed suicide. Legend has it that Cleopatra died by the self-inflicted bite of a poisonous snake called an asp, though no firm evidence exists to support that claim.

Qura tul Ain Tahira created waves in the history of Iran in 1848. Princess Noor Jehan was a Mughal princess who helped King Jehangir rule Mughal Empire. And Umrao Jan Ada, whose poignant tale of misadventure of a little girl, forced into prostitution; and the saga of 1857 at the center of this tragedy as a testimony are famous in history.

Umrao Jan Ada was a dancer girl of Lakhnow (India) and her fame was at the peak from 1896 to 1899. In 1899, Mirza Hadi Ruswa wrote a novel titled Umrao Jan Ada that was published by Maha Dev Parshad Publishers Lakhnow. In turn, Umrao Jan Ada published a novel titled Fasan-e-Ruswa, which describes the love story of Mirza Hadi Ruswa and a French woman Sophia Augustan.

These women are at the background in which Abbas Khan has set his novel. With the help of today’s characters, the author weaves a web around modern world’s family -- a basic unit of the society and tells us how that is being disintegrated.

The theme of the novel has been defined by the first sentence which reads, “Family is the bases of society. Both male and female should refrain from every type of waywardness to save the society.” Abbas Khan portrays nineteenth century character (Umrao Jan Ada) living in twenty first century in his lucid style.

Abbas Khan writes on societal issues in the daily Nawa-e-Waqat and his other published work includes three novels, seven short story books and a compilation of his observation: [Zakham Gawah Hain, Tu Aur Tu (novels), Dharti Binam Akash, Tensikh-e-Insan, Qalam, Kursi Aur Wardi, Us Adalat Men, Jism Ka Johar (short story books), Reza Reza Keenat and Pal Pal (afsancha -- shortest storybook) and Din Mein Charagh] and now Mein Aur Umrao Jan Ada (novel).Books have been bringing changes in human relationships and making difference in the lives of people. The power of worlds has caused people to loose their existence or to better them. This is what this novel is expected to do. My recommendation: Read the novel.

PS: Novel is available at The Classic, 42, the Mall, Lahore, Pakistan. Ph” 042-7312977, Email: agha@classicpublishers.com.

Google Adsense Between Blogger/Blogspot Posts Widget

Like many other bloggers, I waited for this. Google just announced this widget that allows Blogger/Blogspot blogs to put Google Adsense code in between (not within) posts. I am going to use this in my blogs where I am using new Blogger/Blogspot. I wish we could use Blogger's new Google Adsense widget to put image and video ads in between our posts easily, better still customize adsense the way we can play with older version of blogger.

Lahore Rapid Mass Transit (LRMT) Rail Project

Owais Mughal

Last month there have been several news items about the Lahore Rapid Mass Transit (LRMT) Rail project. We have tried to gather key information from many of these news items and will present it in the following as one concise post on the topic. The proposed rail service is the main part of the Lahore Mass Transit System (LRMTS). Other components of this project include the now under construction Lahore Ring Road Project.


The LRMT is a Two-phase, 97 kilometes long project. A Hong Kong based company called MVA Asia Consultancy was hired the government of Punjab as consultants to prepare the project feasibility. The study of MVA Asia Consultancy completed 5% of project design and proposed four Rail lines in the city to share the traffic burden. The proposed capacity of LRMT is going to be able to move 35000 passengers per hour in the city. Funding for the project will be provided by the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

PHASE I:

In Phase-I two tracks will be constructed. One will be a North-South route called the Green Line and other will be a East-West route called the Orange Line.

Green Line:

Green Line is going to cost US $2.4 billion to construct. The Green Line would extend from Shahdara to Hamza Town via Ravi Road, Lower Mall, Mall Road, Fatima Jinnah Road, Qartaba Chowk and Ferozepur Road areas. The length of Green Line is going to be 27 km. 11.6 km long Green Line route would be underground, while 15.4 km long would be overhead. There will be 12 underground and 10 overhead stations built on the Green Line route. The completion dates of ‘Green Line’ is in 2011. Initially the project was supposed to finish in 2012 but due to Cricket World Cup od 2012 wher Lahore will be hosting few matches, the Green Line completion date has been pulled in to 2011. Initial estimates are that 227,000 people annually would benefit from the Green line.

In March 2007, Punjab Government invited Dr E. Sreedharan who is the managing director of successfully operating Delhi Metro Rail. After studying the project details Dr Sreedharan has declared Green Line Project as a viable one. He has inspected the first priority line’s route from Shahdara to Hamza Town. In his view, the implementation of the Green Line project (Phase I) would face no major technical difficulty because the soil condition en route was good and roads were wide, having room for underground construction without creating any serious inconvenience to the city.

Orange Line:

Orange Line is going to cost US $1.9 billion. Its route would extend from Pakistan Mint to Sabzazar via Shahnur, Awan Town, Hinjarwal, Niaz Beg, Canal View, Wahdat Road, Ali Town, Salahuddin Road, Bund Road, Islam Park, Dera Gujjran Depot, Mahmood Booti, Salamatpura, Samanabad, Gulshan Ravi, Chauburji, Lake Road, Lakshami Chowk, Railway Station, Sultanpura, UET, Baghbanpura and Shalimar Garden areas.

The length of Orange Line would also be 27-km out of which, 6.9 km long tracks would be underground, while 20.2 km-long would be overhead upon which six underground and 20 overhead stations would be established.

The central interchange station of Green and Orange lines would also be established besides linking these lines at Ring Road, railway station, airport, and Sports City. The completion dates of ‘Orange Line’ is in 2015. Initial estimates are that 245,000 people annually would benefit from the Orange Train.

PHASE II:

The completion year for phase II is 2020. In Phase-II, two more tracks will be laid out. These routes will be called Blue Line and Purple Line.

Blue Line:

The route length of blue line is going to be 24 km. The ‘Blue Line’ will start from Chauburji and end at College Road, sources said, adding that from Chauburji the line would pass through Mozang Chungi, Shadman Chowk, Jail Road, Mian Boulevard Gulberg, Mian Boulevard Garden Town, Faisal Town and end at College Road.

Purple Line:

The route length of Purple line is going to be 19 km. Purple line would start from Bhaati Chowk and end at Allama Iqbal International Airport. The line would pass through Bhaati Chowk, Brandreth Road, Railway Station, Allama Iqbal Road, Dharampura, Ghazi Road and end at Allama Iqbal International Airport

The Train Capacity:

One unit of air-conditioned train will have the seating capacity of 500 passengers.

Stations:

Train stations on the elevated route would be designed like overhead bridges while train stations on the underground route would have two entranceways and two exits.

Environmental Concerns?

Just like with every Mega project, voices of dissent have started appearing for the project where people have shown concern for environment and noise levels of elevated trains. Dawn’s editorial on Jult 12, 2007 covers these voices very concisely and I’ll quite the editorial here:

The first two lines will cost $3.3 billion. In real terms, the cost of the project is yet to be worked out. Surely, notes of dissent are expected to start pouring in. The economists are going to question the heavy debt the project will incur for the government and the citizens, while the opposition politicians are most definitely going to give their own colour to these lines and the sabza group may soon be out to enumerate the effects of this development on Lahore’s environment. Some of these points may be very valid and should elicit a thoughtful response from the government. There can be no moving ahead without this exercise. The sooner this essential exercise is carried out the better it would be for everyone.

Noise: I couldn’t find the details on expected noise levels around elevated portions of the track but noise is definitely going to travel far and away if sound barriers are not constructed around the tracks. More than normal decibels of noise are already witnessed around Pakistan Railway’s elevated track which runs from Lahore Station to Badami Bagh.

Previous Light Rail Studies or Projects:
The current project is definitely not the first attempt to build a rail based mass transit for Lahore. In 1991 during Nawaz Sharif’s termas prime minister, rhe feasibility of a light rail transit system was determined by Japanese development organisation (JICA). It had proposed a 13 kilometre long system. The study was reviewed and updated as part of the World Bank funded “Lahore traffic and transport studies” in 1993.

The system’s cost was estimated at about US $400 million, but with better network coverage. In 1995 Japan proposed financing the original scheme with grants and loans of about US $495 million, but the project could not be implemented due to many reasons.

Fares:
Back in July 2007, it was reported in Daily Times that Passengers of the Lahore Rapid Mass Transit (LRMT) would be charged Rs 125 to Rs 140 to travel from one end to the other of the 27 kilometre-long Green Line.

“Sources associated with the project told Daily Times on Thursday that this (Rs 125-Rs 140) one-side fare had been calculated after taking into account the rendered $2.5 billion cost of the project, which is expected to be completed by 2011. Sources said that to pay back the loan likely to be incurred on the LRMT project, the government would have to charge high fares from the passengers. Currently, the public transport fare from Kahna to Shahdara is between Rs 20 to 25. By 2011, it would rise between Rs 25 and Rs 30. They said that to charge a passenger of the LRMT Rs 30 for a one-side visit, the government would have to give a subsidy of at least Rs 100 per person, which was not possible for the government."

While Rs 140 one way fare indeed looks ridiculous right now, passengers may end up paying much more than road transport. The benefiit however will be ease of travel, no traffic jams and hopefully a strict adherence to time table.

Hope:

Many years ago I took a course in Engineering Economics. I still remember one sentence from my text book. It read as:

“All mega projects should be built as soon as possible after their design is done and funding is secured otherwise opposition to the project grows on POLITICAL basis.”

When we look around the mega projects of Pakistan, it appears so true. If big projecs are not started quickly they never will because somebody will always find a reason to do politics on the issue. In the end we sincerely hope the project sees the light of the day and does not end like the one in works for Karachi (called KMTP/KCR) for the past 33 years. Lets all hope for the best and we will continue to add updates on this project in the comments section below.

References:

(1) Metroblogging Lahore

(2) Dawn Editorial of July 12, 2007.

(3) The News, February 26, 2006.

(4) MVA Consultancy

(5) Business Recorder Edition of June 10, 2007

(6) The Daily Time Edition of March 14, 2006

(7) ZeeNews edition of March 5, 2007

(8) Lahore Signs Light Rail MoU: September 1, 2002.

(9) Daily Times: Edition of July 7, 2007

No Admission without Permission


Owais Mughal

Last time I was in Pakistan, I noticed a few public notices which made me smile. Even though I've grown up seeing these all my life, they somehow felt funnier this time. The following is not necessarliy a negative writing but something that I observed and enjoyed.

(1) ghaas pe chalna "sakht" mana hai

(Walking on grass is strictly prohibited)

I mean, what is the difference between prohibited (mana) and strictly prohibited (sakht mana)? Who is enforcing the strictness (sakhti) here? It will be interesting to survey how many (if any) extra people refrain from walking on the grass with a notice saying strictly forbidden as compared to simply forbidden.

For our English readership the board on the photo below reads:

"Throwing trash here is strictly prohibited. By the orders of Executive Officer Cantonment Board Quetta. Culprits will be handed over to the police"


A friend of mine tells me that just behind Karachi University, in Bhayani Heights Apartments there is list of instructions written at the notice board. One of them reads:

‘University Ground may kachra phenkna sakht mana hai. Rangers ground ki nigraani kar rahay haiN. khilaaf warzi karnay waalay ko pooray ground ki safaai karni paray gi’

(Throwing trash in the University grounds is prohibited. Rangers are watching. Culprits will have to clean the whole ground)

It reminds me of this famous 'sher'.

hum pe ye sakhti ki nazar, hum haiN faqeer-e-raah-guzar
raasta kabhi rokaa tera? daaman kabhi thaama tera?

(2) No admission without Permission

This is usually written on government officers’ doors. It indeed conveys a negative message that one is not welcome. I guess a positive sounding message could be: Admission with Permission.

(3) 'udhaar mohabbat ki qenchi hai'

(Credit cuts love like scissors)

This notice is written on our neighborhood grocery store discouraging customers from asking for store credit.

(4) ‘yehaN ujrat roz milti hai’

(Workers are paid daily here)

This notice is written inside our local barber shop. The words of the notice are crying out loud that master barber has no long-term plans for his business. He is hiring daily labor only. Don’t ask for any benefits either.

(5) ‘khatra 440V’ (Danger 440V)

This danger sign is usually accompanied by a visual display of danger in the form of human skull and crossbones. This notice is usually found on electric utility companies’ transformers.

(6) Once I also saw a completely damaged car put on a pedestal display in the middle of a traffic circle (roundabout) by a city's traffic department with a message:



’ tez raftaari ka anjaam…..minjaanib Traffic Department '

(The result of over speeding….by Traffic Department)

(7) ‘Bachelors ki rehaaish mamnoo hai’

(Bachelors accommodation is not allowed)

This notice forbids unmarried people from renting in a certain family oriented community. I think it is a very discriminatory notice.

Please feel free to share if you know any such public notices

Credits:
(1) To my friend Abdul Nasir who pointed out atleast two notices included in the list above.
(2) To my friend Umar Shah who pointed out to me the hilarity of the phrase 'no admission without permission'
(3) the colored photo above is from trekearth.com

Tags: Public Notices, Society,

What is a Blog?

Senior Netizens

Bloggers' Meet in Techys Lounge


Where was I when Techys Lounge was set up in DHA only three months ago? I used to take pride in discovering new joins worth hanging around. But no, I found about this thematic café only when Amer Sarfraz of Buzzvines and Badar Khushnood of Google organised bloggers’ get togather there to mark the Independence Day.

I firmly believe that Pakistani bloggers are as good as any other community in the world. Hearing these young men speak about blogging and how we can leverage this phenomenon for business and personal pursuits only reaffirms my belief. They have so much energy and will to excel. And they are already gearing up towards excellence. They are a very strong voice in this din. Hear them.

Techys Lounge – “a place for technology geeks. Along with free WiFi connectivity for anyone with a WiFi enabled notebook, Techys Lounge offers techys with a setting to see, test and buy fancy gadgets like Notebooks, Digital Cameras and a lot more,” writes Amer Sarfraz.


When Hafeez Center is turning into Sabzai Mandai (I will not say Fish Market), this is the place where one can visit and buy latest and stat of the art tech gadgets and toys.

On this bloggers’ meet, Techy’s Lounge had developed a new hot drink, which they named ‘BuzzVines’. Nice one. What is more, their menu is good. And you won’t get tired of sitting there. Even Aly Muhammad – the youngest blogger says, “I would like to sit there and blog.”


My recommendation: Visit Techy’s Lounge.

Main Bhi Pakistan Hoon, Too Bhi Pakistan Hey

Happy Independence. Image from ATP

Bloggers’ Buzz at BuzzVines

Amer Sarfraz and people behind BuzzVines are arranging a small informal gathering of the tech savvy blogging community of Pakistan. The purpose of this informal meeting is to provide the blogger community with an opportunity to meet face to face with each other and discuss things of common interest verbally for a change :)

After starting the new Buzz ‘I Still Love Pakistan – Do You?’ on our web site we thought why not use this important day to mark a new beginning and invite all the Pakistani bloggers to a get-together. A number of people were approached and with the help and coordination of some techies this whole event was made possible.

‘Google’s Country Consultant’, Mr. Badar Khushnood showed interest in this gathering and has expressed his intent in joining.

We would like to invite you to join us at; Techy’s Café, D.H.A., Lahore On 14th August, 2007 @ 5p.m.

For further information please e-mail event@buzzvines.com or call +92 42 7060558. For further details about venue location & map please visit here.Please Répondez s'il-vous-plaît (RSVP) to confirm your presence by eMailing us.

What is Wrong with KESC?

Owais Mughal

Curtain Raiser:

A friend of mine came up with a very creative motto for KESC during our school days at NED Karachi. It said:

zor ka jhatka..zara dheeray se lagay

It seems true now as KESC is giving lots of jolts to its customers. These jolts come slowly but linger longer than before. Power failures are more frequent now and the cost of electricity is highest ever.

Why this Post?

Living abroad the ideas for a Pakistani blog mostly come through electronic news media. There is however, an unconventional source also. And that source is talking to one’s family in Pakistan. The idea for this post comes from this second source. For the past many months whenever I call home, one news always reaches up to my ears and that is ‘beta bijli buhat jaati hai’ (son, the electricity fails a lot). Finally I’ve decided to do something about it. That is, I am going to write about it.

KESC and WAPDA Jurisdictions:

The elctricity supply business in Pakistan is under a sort of monopoly of two companies. For Karachi city and adjoining areas of Sindh and Balochistan, it is under Karachi Electric Supply Corporation (KESC). For rest of the Pakistan it falls under Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA). Both companies operate their own networks and they are also interconnected to eachother at two points. One is the Jamshoro - BinQasim link in East of Karachi and other is HUBCO-KESC link in West of Karachi. Both companies can provide power to eachother through these links.

Karachi Electric Supply Corporation (KESC) was incorporated on September 13, 1913 and thus it will complete 94 years of its existence this year. At least up until 1993, both KESC and WAPDA had a power generation in excess of their demand [source 1 below]. Eventhough electricity supply has never been a sure thing in Pakistan, it had never failed so miserably as its been happening since 2006.

Before I delve further let me quickly give a brief introduction of a few technical terms

Generation:

It means the quantitiy of elecricity generated. It is measured in Mega Watts (MW).

Transmission:

Power Stations are usually located outside the population centers and electricity is transported from there to cities at a very high voltage. This long distance transport of electricity at high voltage is called ‘Transmission’. The units of measurement are kilo volts (KV). For Karachi the transmission is done at 220 kV, 132 kV and some circuits of 66 kV. Just for reference I also want to mention that highest transmission voltage in Pakistan is 500 KV which is on a WAPDA line than runs all the way from Jamshoro (Sindh) to Tarbela (NWFP).

Distribution:

Once the electricity reaches population centers, it is distributed to substations and ‘Pole Mounted Transformers’ (PMT)s at lower (and safer) voltages. Units of measurements are kilo volts (kV). For Karachi City the distrbution voltage is 11 kV. There is 3800 km long underground cables of 11 kV as well as 2000 km of overhead wires of 11 KV in the city.

Grid Stations:

Grid Stations are used to step down transmission voltage to distribution voltage. Karachi has 51 Grid Stations in its network. Grid stations supply 11 KV voltage to Substations.

From Substations the output voltage is usually 440V which is then further stepped down to 220V at more than 8000 ‘Pole Mounted Transformers’ (PMT)s located in the city for delivery to consumer homes. There are more than 10000 km of wires carrying 440V supply in the city.

As briefly mentioned above, up until 1993 both KESC and WAPDA had excess Power. KESC had an installed capacity of 1738 MW with the peak demand of 1280 MW. WAPDA had an installed capacity of 9800 MW with peak demand around 8000 MW. Believe it or not there were even talks of exporting excess power to India then.

Going thorugh daily news for the past many months I can safely say that KESC system now lies in shambles. Transmission is probably the only piece that has stayed out of negative news otherwise from Poor management to Lower generation to total breakdown of distribution is a norm now. Add to this a news item of Aug 6 that Karachi consumers will now pay extra 29 paisas/unit on their bill. This situation reminds me of a sher which I had first read in a Mushtaq Ahmed Yousufi’s book. It goes like this:

chumkaaray, chumkaar kay maaray

maaray, maar ke phir chumkaaray

Generation Problems:

Let us first take a look at what is plaguing KESC at Generation Level. As of 2007, KESC owns 1756 MW of generation capacity which had overtime been degraded to 1336 MW. After some recent rehabilitation projects, the company has managed to enhance its generation levels to 1534 MW (source: Daily News, Aug 6, 2007). The approximate demand for power in the city is atleast 2300 MW. To meet the supply-demand gap, KESC purchases power from WAPDA, Independent Power Producers (IPP)s and KANUPP. Whenever any of these outside entities fail to provide power OR there is a breakdown in KESC’s own installed generation base, they have to resort to load shedding.

KESC currently buys 250 MW power from the Independent Power Producers (IPP)s located in Karachi, namely Tapal Energy, Gul Ahmed Energy and Anoud Power Generation Ltd. KESC also buys 40-50 MW power from PAEC’s Karachi Nuclear Power Plant (KANUPP) (source: Daily news, Aug 6, 2007) and Pakistan Steel Mills , which provides 20 MW electricity. In addition to this Government of Pakistan has recently instructed WAPDA to sell up to 800 MW to KESC.

There has been no recent increase in the generation capacity in KESC region of supply. The last power plant to go online in Karachi area was HUBCO which falls under WAPDA and it is already more than 10 years old. There is a power and desalination plant being worked on in Defence Phase VIII which will be the first one to go on KESC network by the end of 2007.

KESC does have plans to enhance is capacity in two phases. First is going to be a 220 MW extension at Korangi Thermal Power Station (KTPS) and then in phase II there will be an additional 575 MW capacity installed at Bin Qasim Thermal Power Station (BQTPS). KESC claims to partly put the first phase in operation by 2008.

Geographic Location of KESC Power Plants:

Most of the generation capacity of KESC is located in east of the city. This adds an unnecessary transmission cost in moving this power to north, west and south of the city.

Distribution Problems:

Now let us come to KESC’s distribution woes. The distribution network is not only below demand but there is a huge factor of power theft also. This theft happens in three ways:

1. KESC clients who already have connections, bypass the electricity meters. Few years ago KESC was being run by the Army and even they couldn’t stop the power theft inspite of moving electricity meters of most of the city out on the streets. This was done to ensure the meters are not tempered with.

2. Industrial clients who are billed according to a sanctioned load use bigger grips to get more power.

3. People use kundas (hooks) on distribution lines.

In a typial utility company, T&D (Transmission and Distribution) losses are factored at 10% of the total generation capacity. In 2004 it was told on National Assembly floor that T&D losses alone amount to 38% on KESC. This is the sign of a truly inefficient distribution network as well as massive power theft on KESC’s network.

Management Issues:

One more angle of KESC’s inefficiency is its management. The company was sold to a private firm Messers KES Power and Others who took control of the company on November 29, 2005 . The new management employed Siemens Pakistan Engineering Limited as the Operations and Management (O&M) Contractor . This includes generation, transmission, distribution, maintenance etc. KESC of old days was highly unionized and the labor is naturally wary of working with the new employers.

Situation in Summer of 2007: The start of summer in 2007 saw many instances of Power riots in Karachi. This phenomena though not unheard of before was not so commonplace as it felt in 2007. The situation in 2007 has become so bad that on March 10, 2007 KESC had to run a public assurance to go through just ONE DAY without power loss. See that news and its reactions here.

To conclude we can say there is a strong need for setting up of more power stations in geographically varied spots (not just east of Karachi) as well as stopping of power theft. These should be the first steps in improving KESC’s performance. KESC and IPPs should also think of using cogeneration for smaller customers where-ever electrical load accompanies a thermal load. The combined efficiency of cogeneration units is upto 80%.

References:

1. ‘Energy Crisis in Pakistan’ by Ali Hasan Cemendtaur

2. KESC ’s official web site

World's Shortest Woman

A Chinese teenager who is just 79 centimetres tall has been confirmed as the world's shortest woman, a news report said.

Zhu Haizhen, 19, from Gao'an in China's eastern Jiangxi province, was reportedly confirmed as the world's shortest woman by an official record association in Shanghai.

Born in 1984, Zhu is 79 centimetres tall and weighs 10 kilograms, looking like a two-year-old child.

According to Zhu's family, she was ill shortly after she was born and since then she grew slowly.

Zhu Haizhen has been included in the Guinness World Records as the shortest adult woman in the world.

Caption: Zhu Haizhen (right) 20, poses with another 19-year-old girl to show their height difference. Photo: AP

ANP-PkMAP Political Alliance

Owais Mughal

A news of significance from last week, which got buried among other high stake news is the alliance of Awami National Party (ANP) and Pakhtunkhwah Milli Awami Party (PkMAP). The new alliance is named as Pakhtoonkhwah National Democratic Alliance (PNDA) with Senator Asfandyar Wali Khan, President of the ANP, as is its chairman.

Historically, ANP has been a left-leaning and secular party whose ideology was influenced by the former Soviet Union (USSR). Although left-leaning, it has never been a ‘communist’ party in the strict sense. The PkMAP on the other hand derives its strength from the Pashtun nationalism and most of its support comes from the Pashtun area of Balochistan.

ANP’s predecessor, the National Awani Party (NAP), played an important role in formulating Pakistan’s constitution of 1973 and especially in crafting its clauses related to provincial autonomy. The leader of ANP (NAP) the late Wali Khan was particularly insistent on this point.

The fall of USSR left ANP rudderless as far as ideology was concerned. It had to adjust its politics in the shadow of the Afghan war and in its aftermath. For much of this time the slogans of greater Pakhtunkhwah looked distant. Early and mid 1990s even saw both ANP and PkMAP forming alliances with rightist Muslim League party of Nawaz Sharif in both center as well as in NWFP and Balochistan. This was probably the biggest ideological U-turn of ANP. This move may have cost them lots of disillusioned supporters.

The vacuum created by the ideological confusion in Pashtun nationalist party ranks was very quickly filled by the rise of religious parties. So much so that in 2002 elections both ANP and PkMAP got routed from the western provinces of Pakistan. Mahmood Khan Achakzai of PkMAP was the only Pashtun nationalist leader who got elected in 2002. The situation became such a sour-grape for ANP that few month ago Gluam Ahmed Bilour of ANP gave this satement: “MMA should immediately enforce shariat in NWFP.”

His was probably hoping that people will soon get fed up with the MMA and may come back to the ranks of nationalist parties. I believe the recent Lal Masjid operation in Islamabad as well as 12th May incidents in Karachi have provided the necessary impetus to Pashtun nationalist parties to revive their support and ranks. Most of the people affected in these two incidents hailed from NWFP districts. Add to this the likelihood of coming elections in late 2007, it comes as a logical next step that ANP and PkMAP join hands.

The alliance between ANP and PkMAP was announced on July 25, 2007 and its initial demands include the creation of a separate province for Pashtuns. This proposal calls for including the whole of North West Frontier Province (NWFP), Mianwali and Attock districts from Punjab and 11 districts of Balochistan (Chaman, Quetta, Zhob, Sibi, Pishin, Qila Abdullah, Qila Saifullah, Musakhel, Loralai, Balarkan and Ziarat) in the new province to be called Pakhtoonkhwah. Pashto is proposed to be its official language. The alliance leaders also call for the Pashtuns to see which ethnicity is suffering the most in the recent spate of violence.

Some of the demands of this new alliance outright challenge the beliefs of many of us. Many Pakistanis believe in a strong center and provincial boundaries are considered holy. The demands of the alliance are a direct challenge to this thinking. The alliance however, has the potential of taking people away from the violence - the violence of the type which we are currently seeing in western provinces - so for that reason alone it could be a good news. But what might this return to ethnic politics mean in the long run? I am not sure. A friend remarked to me the other day that this is like letting loose a monster to tackle another and they may end up becoming even more monstrous.

At a personal level I am sympathetic to the demand for a new province and new official language. My argument is that it should be determined through referendum and if that is what people want then people’s will should be respected. For example, I am not sure if people of Mianwali want to go with this idea. They may more likely vote for a Seraiki province than Pakhtoonkhwah, therefore these decisions should be based on voting/referendums all along. The principle of giving smaller regional groups the space to operate democractically is, however, a good one.

There is one more demand of this alliance which I find very legitimate. Quoting the daily News it goes like this: The Pakhtoon leaders said that the federation should safeguard rights of the federating units on the basis of equality, ensuring the constitutional institutions key role in this context.

This is not end of story here as there is yet another dimension to this alliance. A lesser known fact is that ANP and PkMAP both have a very strong support in Karachi city. Their call for Pashtun unity in Karachi area is probably timed around elections as ANP-PkMAP may be eyeing a few provincial or even a National Assembly seat from the city. The events of May 12 have only highlighted the importance of this dimension. Since May 12 incident both Asfandayar Wali and Mahmood Khan Achakzai have made several trips to Karachi and talked about Pashtun unity. In the local city politics context it may cause even more polarization of people on the basis of ethnicity and to me it does bring back the haunted memories of what the city went through in fifteen years period of 1983-1998. While pride in one’s ethnic identity is a good thing, politics based of ethnic rivalries cannot be good for the country.

Whether this loose alliance of ANP-PkMAP will result in an electoral alliance is still to be seen. Yesterday’s news is that the verbal agreement between Asfandyar Wali Khan and Mehmood Khan Achakzai has not materialized on ground yet. So far no headway has been made to form bodies for making recommendations for a merger or formation of an electoral alliance of these parties. I guess, only time will tell how this alliance plays out in long term.

Now looking beyond this particular alliance, there is a strong ethnic under-current running in Pakistani politics today. This factor is stirring the pot slowly and the outcome can become a major defining force in the future of Pakistan politics. Possibly as major a force as religion has become today. Those who think about Pakistan politics should keep a close watch on how this under-current develops. People didn’t talk about it in open but these differences were very visible even in CJP reinstatement issue where it was very clear which geographical area of Pakistan were drawing support for or against him.

In next elections, I will not be surprised if Baluch nationalist parties sweep the whole Baluch belt of Baluchistan as well as make inroads into PPP’s stronghold in Southern Karachi towns.
Therefore the need of the hour is to face the reality and be inclusive of regional parties; To build unity through diversity; To acknowledge and address the legitimate concerns of smaller provinces and groups, and to create the mechanisms for them to participate meaningfully in national politics.

I will here present the argument that most of the regional parties have played their national roles whenever they are considered worthy of it. ANP, PkMAP, MQM, BNP, JWP have (or had) all joined hands with federal parties in the past. Ms Hameeda Khoro whose past has been associated with Jiyay Sindh party has played continuous active role at federal level.

We can see a stronger Pakistan with more and more participation of regional and provincial parties at National level.

Most of the regional issues and people behind them need an acknowledgement of their issues at Federal level. They sometimes play the role of an angry child who needs more recognition. Just listen to them, talk to them and at the very least try solving their issues sincerely. We will get a stronger Pakistan in return.